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Sep
21

2009 NL MVP: Pujols vs. Hanley

Posted by: Toby Wachter | Comments (1)

Last week, I made a case for Mauer deserving the AL MVP more than Derek Jeter. Judging by responses on our blog and the Upper Deck Facebook page, I’d say most of you agree with this. For the National League, things seem to be even more straightforward; after all, Albert Pujols is a monster, and widely acclaimed as the best player in the game right now.

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And let’s be honest, it’s hard to argue against that. Pujols leads the league in runs, home runs, RBI, walks, OBP, slugging, OPS and total bases. He’s also doing this with a fear factor attached to him we haven’t seen since the glory days of Barry Bonds earlier in the decade. No one wants to challenge him, so he’ll probably only see one good pitch per at bat . . . which he’ll crush often enough. He plays very good defense, and has even stolen 14 bases this year. Any praise I heap onto Pujols is pure redundancy at this point, as we all know he’s the best player of this generation.

The only way I can possibly make an argument against Pujols is position scarcity. This is a concept you’ll be familiar with if you’re ever played fantasy baseball, even if you’ve never thought about it directly in these terms.

In a fantasy baseball draft, getting great players at premium positions like shortstop or second base is a huge advantage. For example, if I draft Chase Utley in the first round, as long as he stays healthy I know I can count on 30+ HRs and 100+ RBIs from my second baseman. That’s something no one else will have, and while I won’t have Pujols on my team, I can still draft a good first baseman who will put up big numbers like Adrian Gonzalez or Prince Fielder.

Of course, real baseball is not fantasy baseball, so this doesn’t translate perfectly to the real world. But it does illustrate a point that should be considered: when you get great production out of a position on the diamond that usually doesn’t generate that kind of offense, you’ve got a significant edge.

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This is what makes Hanley Ramirez so great. He’s hitting .352 with an OBP of .416, 23 home runs, almost 40 doubles, and 26 stolen bases, all while playing shortstop (his defense, while not great, has shown improvement). What other shortstop can match up to this level of production? I can’t think of any in the league. He’s the kind of player any fan would love to have on their team, in some cases more so than Pujols. To frame this a bit better, I’d say the gap in talent between a contending team’s shortshop and Hanley Ramirez is going to be greater, more often than not, than the gap between their first baseman and Pujols.

But even considering this small detail, Pujols still deserves the MVP. He’s approaching 50 home runs and has an OBP of .447: which, by the way, is incredible. When you’re more or less coin-flipping to see if you get on base, you’re an extraordinary player (when he comes to the plate, he’s only making an out 55.3% of the time).

Most notable is that this will be Pujols’ third MVP (and could have very well been his fourth, as Ryan Howard barely edged him out in 2006). This marks his ninth season in the league, he’s put up monster numbers each year, and he’s remained healthy (634 plate appearances is his lowest career total). In other words, he’s already made a strong case for being a Hall of Famer before turning 30 years old. With no signs of slowing down, I’m sure he’ll continue to add to his resume.

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“Now batting . . . number 2. Derek . . . Jeter. Number 2.”

Anyone who has ever been to a Yankee game can read that sentence and hear Bob Sheppard in their head. I know I would never hear that any other way. Jeter has stated that he will forever be announced by Bob Sheppard for as long as he is a Yankee (which should be his whole career).

As a baseball fan you either love Derek Jeter, or you love to hate him. There doesn’t seem to be a grey area in this debate. I’ve been having a bit of a back and forth with many people about this love/hate relationship to try and figure it out; it seems as though many people hate him simply due to the overexposure he gets from the media.  Is that a good reason to hate him? I really don’t think Jeter is calling all these media outlets demanding all this attention; he’s not A-Rod.

But I will grant you this: the media does have an obsession with everything Jeter does. Clearly this is more far reaching than just New York, but I wouldn’t know that without talking to many of you out in the blogosphere. Derek Jeter has been quoted saying many times that he doesn’t watch baseball when he isn’t playing, and he doesn’t get the MLB Extra Innings package. Maybe that seems strange, but we can understand he doesn’t want his entire life consumed by baseball.

Personally, I will agree that the media jams him and the Yankees down your throat because they do it here. You all know I am a big Yankees fan, and I can say good things about Jeter until the cows come home . . . but really nothing needs to be said.  You watch him on the field on a daily basis and you know what kind of player he is, you know the dedication and drive he has, and you know all about his place in Yankees history.

Some of you may have wondered what it would have been like to have been there to see Jeter break Gehrig’s record, and some of you may have changed the channel because you are sick of him. If you want to know what it was like, I can tell you firsthand.  It was amazing, one of those moments that I would sit in the rain for six hours to see in person. There was an initial rain delay of 1:27 before the game even started, and I have never seen that many people wait through a rain delay in all my years of going to games. Most of the time if it’s raining people don’t even go, myself included. This was different; this was a matter of seeing 72 years of history being changed in a single moment. This was a night for one captain to steal the spotlight from another captain.

It was pouring for the first pitch and no one was in their seats. But between innings the seats filled in very quickly because Jeter was leading off in the bottom of the 1st.  Jeter stuck out in his first at bat, and the fans ran for cover. I remained in my seat, as did most of the bleacher creatures. The crowd then returned for Jeter’s next at bat: he belted an opposite field single, in “Jeterian” fashion (as John Sterling would say). The whole stadium was standing even before he hit the ball.  As soon as the ball reached the outfield I jumped up and screamed. The crowd erupted in typical Yankee Stadium fashion, and Jeter stood at first base with 2,722 hits.

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The whole team came out from the dugout to congratulate Jeter, and the Orioles were very respectful of this and waited patiently (I even saw one clap on the replay). On behalf of Yankees fans, I’d like to thank the Orioles for showing Jeter respect and for understanding the moment was not meant to show you up.
The crowd stood for every Jeter at bat after that, cheering, and chanting his name. It was a great experience that I wouldn’t have missed for anything. There have been a few games where I have been lucky enough to get to see history, and this was definitely one of my favorites. It was probably what Jeter had in mind at the last night in the old stadium about ‘building new memories’ at the new Stadium.

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And so far it has been a great first season in the new stadium: between walk off wins, come from behind victories, Jeter chasing the record for all time hits, and Mariano getting his 500th career save (even if it did happen on the road). To put a cap on it, Jeter finally became the Yankees all time hits leader.

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I don’t know about any of you guys, but I have a great feeling about the Yankees’ chances in the postseason and making the World Series. We have a very good group of guys who seem to have that chemistry we haven’t seen since the 90’s championship teams. I just purchased my postseason ticket package, which entitles me to my seats for every home playoff game. Hopefully, we’ll create one more new memory at our stadium by taking home a championship.

Marie co-writes the blog A Cardboard Problem in addition to being a season ticket holder for the Yankees and an all around baseball fan.  Marie is an avid card collector and welcomes comments, questions, and e-mails.

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First, I need to start with a disclaimer here.

Derek Jeter has a strong relationship with Upper Deck, and is a class act. He was gracious, warm and friendly to the winners of our Yankee Stadium Legacy contest a few months back, answered tons of questions for kids on UpperDeckU, and all our internal staff who met him had nothing but great things to say about his personality when they returned from the event. He is one of the best players from this generation and has kept himself away from the off-field controversies that plagued so many of his contemporaries. His career numbers at shortstop put him among the best at all time at his position, making him an easy first ballot Hall of Famer. Fifty years from now, he’ll still be talked about by fans. He’s having one of his best seasons yet, and is an integral part of the Yankees dominance over the league during the regular season so far.

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All this being said, in my own humble opinion, he is not the 2009 AL MVP (despite some arguments I’ve seen to the contrary). He can’t be the MVP, because what Joe Mauer is doing right now is more appropriate for a video game with the difficulty turned to “Easy” than reality. He’s currently leading the American League in average, on-base percentage, and slugging.

To reiterate, in the American League this season, Joe Mauer is simultaneously the best at getting hits, the best at getting on base, and the best at hitting for power. This is an incredible feat. Even more impressive? He’s doing it while catching, which is by far the hardest position to play in baseball. By all accounts, Mauer handles his pitching staff very well, and is an asset behind the plate. Combine with his offense, and you’ve got the most valuable player in the league. Not even close.

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This is not to take anything away from Jeter. He’s having one of the best seasons of his career at 35. He’s the catalyst for an offense that gives opposing pitchers nightmares. He’s hitting for a high average, taking plenty of walks, hitting for some power, and stealing bases while playing improved defense at a premium position. In any other year, he’d be MVP. In fact, in a similar 2006 campaign, he probably should have been MVP: that honor went to Justin Morneau for reasons that still puzzle me today (sure he had a great season, but not nearly the best). Actually, I take that back a bit. Morneau won the award, in part, because writers felt the Twins couldn’t have made the playoffs without him. Hence, he was the “most valuable” player in the league.

Sorry, but this is crazy. In 2006, it wasn’t Jeter’s fault that he was surrounded by good hitters, while Morneau was the only power hitter on his team. Morneau’s MVP seemed to speak more to the weakness of the Twins compared to the strength of the Yankees.

And to that point, in 2009, Joe Mauer has no control over the players the Minnesota Twins sign to play for the team. He can’t make decisions about which pitchers to trade for or sign, or which batters will surround him. That’s the General Manager’s job, and it’s miles away from his responsibilities. Joe Mauer is paid to catch and hit, and he’s done his job at a historical level of excellence this year. To discredit Mauer’s MVP credentials based on the performance of players around him defies logic. With this type of voter, it’s as if a player needs to find the right balance between playing on a team with just enough talent to get to the playoffs with his help, while avoiding being on a team that would have been good enough to get there without him.

External circumstances out of the player’s control shouldn’t be incorporated into the decision here; and at the end of the day, I’m confident they won’t be. Some writers may still vote along these lines, but it’s hard to ignore any player putting up the performance Mauer has this year, much less at catcher.

And as for Jeter? He’ll probably get another second place finish in the voting (to go along with the one that probably should have been an MVP campaign in 2006). He’ll definitely go to the playoffs, he’s the face of a franchise that is the most famous in the world, and he has four more championship rings than Joe Mauer does. So let’s not give him an MVP as a “lifetime achievement award” (as Allen Barra suggested in the Wall Street Journal). If anything, it does a disservice to his genuine career accomplishments, of which there are plenty.

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Oh, to be a Mets fan in September. I fully expected we’d be at least playing for a Wild Card spot when this month came around, but that ship sailed a long time ago. I’m still a baseball fan though, and I need something to cheer for. Something to look forward to.

I want a Yankees vs. Giants World Series.

Sure, Red Sox vs. Dodgers would feature Manny coming back to Boston, and I’m sure Fox executives would be just as happy with the Dodgers and Joe Torre facing off against the Yankees. The Phillies could very well go for a repeat after adding ace Cliff Lee, and the Cardinals could feature the best player in the game on the biggest stage yet again. The Angels have their usual aggressive approach and solid pitching, but have added an element of patient hitting to their lineup this year. And of course, the Red Sox would have a chance to win their third championship this early in the century, after suffering a great deal in the past one.

But for my money, nothing would be more exciting than Giants and Yankees. I mean, look at this freakin’ lineup. I don’t have much affection for the Yankees, but you have to stand in awe of how their usual great offense combines with the new home run happy stadium to create a Very Scary Place for opposing pitchers. Eight of the nine guys in the lineup will easily have 20 home runs by the time the season is over, with a few hitting 30, and Teixeira may very well get to 40. And it’s not all home runs of course, as every guy with a bat in his hands seems to have an OPS in the mid-to-high .800’s, if not .900’s.

Classic Bronx Bombers with a stadium that plays small, causing bombs to go out left and (especially) right . . .  where the old short porch has become even more of a joke for round trippers. Opposing pitchers tremble at the sight of it: the lineup gives you no reprieve, and the stadium itself is against you. Who will save us?

How about this kid?

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He’s 5′ 11″, 160 pounds, and just turned 25. He also has a Cy Young on his mantle, is well on his way to getting another, and is the envy of fans of the other 29 teams in the league (especially his hometown Mariners, who passed on the opportunity to draft him). With his funky delivery, he’s proven to be consistent, durable, and productive.

He is the perfect David to take down the Goliath in the Bronx.

Now granted, Lincecum can’t start every game in a long series, which is why it’s good to see the Giants have another young ace up their sleeve.

MATTCAIN

Matt Cain is 24, and having the best year of his career so far with a 2.50 ERA. He doesn’t get nearly enough credit because he pitches by the bay with Lincecum getting the marquee recognition; but if you put Cain in Boston, New York or Chicago, he’d be an ace and probably a household name. Not to say he can’t get there with the “SF” on his cap either.

So assuming everyone stays healthy, we can expect the Yankees postseason lineup to look something like this:

1. Jeter SS
2. Damon LF
3. Teixeira 1B
4. Rodriguez 3B
5. Matsui DH
6. Posada C
7. Swisher RF
8. Cano 2B
9. Cabrera CF

Holy crap. Who can conquer that four times in seven games? The kids can, I hope.

And even if they can’t, it’ll be remarkably entertaining. By contrast, the Giants lineup is all kinds of awful, and they’ll need to scratch and claw for every run they can get. But when you have Lincecum and Cain going four games out of seven, you definitely have a chance. And how would these kids do against the Yankees anyway: against the toughest lineup in the league, in a high pressure situation, with a stadium that provides no room for error?

That would be something to watch. It’s not even a sure thing the Giants make the playoffs this year, but I’ll be hoping they can win the tight Wild Card battle and make this happen. No matter who wins, fans would get to see a series that could easily be the most entertaining World Series of this decade.

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Aug
31

Talking eBay at the Card Show

Posted by: Marie Pecora | Comments (8)

As you may have already guessed, my favorite time of year starts at Spring Training . . . and with any luck ends with the Yankees in the World Series in October. I love baseball, so even if the Yankees don’t make it, the playoffs are still a great time of the year. My second favorite time is when the baseball card show comes to town.  There are roughly three in my area (White Plains, NY) throughout the year, and with no local hobby shops this is like a three day slice of heaven.

Despite the card show opening on a Thursday night, I held off going until Friday morning, because I knew my rationale of all the good cards being gone on Thursday was a bit nutty. I arrived fairly early, with my checklists, my budget, and my mission (going to these things with a budget is really not worth bothering with because you never stick to it, at least it seems that I never do).  Aside from picking up Pujols cards to fill in some gaps in my collection and supplies, I wanted to try and finish my 2009 O-Pee-Chee set, which at the time was missing 51 cards.

I started the show by visiting a dealer with just hobby boxes who remembered me (it was a trend all day it seemed), and we started talking Yankees, and about the new stadium.  Since he was not in my budget I left empty handed.  Now, I could tell you all about the deals I picked up while I was there, like seven cards for $5 bucks which got me all the Yankees 2009 Legendary Cuts (plus a Jay Bruce from the set).

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But we are going to forgo the loot talk because I found a more consistent theme by talking to many dealers. It had less to do with them remembering I collect Pujols and asking where Suzy (my co-blogger/closest friend) is because they had a box of Jeter cards for her, and more to do with a growing dislike of selling on eBay.

When you talk about eBay with these vendors, you’re likely to hear some strong opinions. The gentleman who sold me the base cards at seven for $5 told me business with selling singles on eBay right now was poor, thanks to the fee structure change and less volume of customers.  I really thought it was just our store because we haven’t had the money to buy new stock in a while, but this was coming from a guy with over 100,000 positive feedbacks, not counting duplicate user feedbacks.  He told me that right now it really isn’t worth selling on eBay but he will continue to do so now just because he owns his own hobby store, and has a website (so for now it still can work for him).

Where hobby boxes are concerned, he now sells them only through his website, because he was putting up hobby boxes as “Buy-It-Now” or “Best Offer” listings and getting offers that were well under 60% of what they were listed for. Sadly, I was not surprised by this. I told him that many of us like the best offer option to maybe save $5 or $10 bucks, and that I usually try an offer around that discount just to feel like I saved something. He understood where I was coming from and wished that was the case with most people.

Another guy I frequently deal with on eBay only sells singles from case breaks, and I figured this was the guy who could help me pick up the last of the cards I needed for my 2009 O-Pee-Chee set.  We had a little chit chat about cards while I rummaged through some boxes and I asked him if he had the OPC cards; he did not bring them.  Not only did he not bring them, but he proceeded to tell me how hot they were in his eBay store and why. At this point, I was already steaming mad before I heard his reasoning (just in case you were wondering how I felt).

He told me he ordered X number of cases from his distributor, and only ended up with half.  Now, he had promised team sets to many pre-orders and needed to fulfill those first, and then the remaining singles were being allocated to the eBay store. He said he sells more of those than anything right now, and didn’t really get it until he searched himself and found out there were not many (if any) other sellers of singles from this set. He also informed me that he would not charge $1 per base card, but that is the lowest you can list on eBay and they are selling. So how could I fault the guy for leaving them home and making money on them? Well, I can for one reason and one reason alone- eBay fees.  He would probably end up with the same profit selling them at the card show.

The last vendor I spoke to ended up telling me basically the same things as the first two guys. I walked around to take care of a few last items (Albert Pujols Diamond Collection card, 2009 Legendary Cuts dual game-used jersey card of Robinson Cano & Ron Guidry) while mulling over all this eBay talk.  I generally tend to talk more than look at these shows mostly because other than my blog and Suzy, it’s rare to find collectors this dedicated to the hobby.

When eBay first came around it seemed like it was the place to buy anything and everything at a great discount. In some cases that still holds true, but in the case of baseball cards I don’t know how much longer collectors can get a bargain buying here because of the fees eBay is now charging. Between the store fee (basic store starts at $15/month), listing fees, final value fees, and then PayPal fees because you can no longer accept checks or money orders, you are sometimes looking at making mere cents for selling a card. While I would love to continue my eBay business it is no longer practical or profitable, which is sad because I liked being able to flip unwanted cards for a couple of Albert Pujols or an occasional Robbie Cano autograph.

It seems to be a growing trend that dealers, sellers, and collectors are moving away from selling on eBay right now. If anyone else has a story to share about eBay, I would love to hear your comments or stories.

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